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icon for 9月8日の香港の最高気温は?

9月8日の香港の最高気温は?

icon for 9月8日の香港の最高気温は?

9月8日の香港の最高気温は?

32℃ 97%

33℃ 3%

31℃ <1%

35°C <1%

Polymarket

$103,100 Vol.

32℃ 97%

33℃ 3%

31℃ <1%

35°C <1%

Polymarket

$103,100 Vol.

27℃以下

$444 Vol.

<1%

28℃

$2,068 Vol.

<1%

29℃

$3,310 Vol.

<1%

30℃

$37,339 Vol.

<1%

31℃

$18,457 Vol.

<1%

32℃

$10,394 Vol.

97%

33℃

$15,461 Vol.

3%

34°C

$11,882 Vol.

<1%

35°C

$3,038 Vol.

<1%

36℃

$431 Vol.

<1%

37℃以上

$277 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Hong Kong on September 8 reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance showing peak readings near that threshold under partly cloudy, hot conditions with light winds.** Official forecasts project a daytime range of 27–33°C amid weak monsoon flow, with afternoon showers possible but unlikely to suppress the maximum significantly below recent observations in the low 30s across urban stations. Early September climatology supports highs around 30–32°C before seasonal cooling trends strengthen later in the month. The overwhelming 97% implied probability aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment that readings will not exceed 32°C, though a brief clearing or delayed shower timing could push the official maximum to 33°C if models shift. Updated HKO bulletins and regional station reports remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$103,100
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 32°C high for Hong Kong on September 8 reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory data and model guidance showing peak readings near that threshold under partly cloudy, hot conditions with light winds.** Official forecasts project a daytime range of 27–33°C amid weak monsoon flow, with afternoon showers possible but unlikely to suppress the maximum significantly below recent observations in the low 30s across urban stations. Early September climatology supports highs around 30–32°C before seasonal cooling trends strengthen later in the month. The overwhelming 97% implied probability aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment that readings will not exceed 32°C, though a brief clearing or delayed shower timing could push the official maximum to 33°C if models shift. Updated HKO bulletins and regional station reports remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$103,100
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「9月8日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「32℃」で97%、次いで「33℃」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「9月8日の香港の最高気温は?」は$103.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「9月8日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月8日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「32℃」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「33℃」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月8日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。