The market's overwhelming "No" consensus reflects the localized character of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. As of mid-August 2026, WHO and CDC data show roughly 4,900–5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths, concentrated in Ituri Province with limited cross-border transmission. Official assessments classify global risk as low due to strong surveillance, contact tracing, and infection-control measures that have historically contained Ebola outbreaks before widespread international dissemination. No cases have reached the United States or other distant regions, and the strain lacks the transmissibility of pandemic-potential pathogens. Realistic shifts could arise from sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, undetected exportation to new countries, or unexpected increases in community transmission during the rainy season.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% 確率
$692,078 Vol.
$692,078 Vol.
2026/12/31
4% 確率
$692,078 Vol.
$692,078 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus reflects the localized character of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. As of mid-August 2026, WHO and CDC data show roughly 4,900–5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths, concentrated in Ituri Province with limited cross-border transmission. Official assessments classify global risk as low due to strong surveillance, contact tracing, and infection-control measures that have historically contained Ebola outbreaks before widespread international dissemination. No cases have reached the United States or other distant regions, and the strain lacks the transmissibility of pandemic-potential pathogens. Realistic shifts could arise from sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, undetected exportation to new countries, or unexpected increases in community transmission during the rainy season.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$692,078終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus reflects the localized character of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. As of mid-August 2026, WHO and CDC data show roughly 4,900–5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths, concentrated in Ituri Province with limited cross-border transmission. Official assessments classify global risk as low due to strong surveillance, contact tracing, and infection-control measures that have historically contained Ebola outbreaks before widespread international dissemination. No cases have reached the United States or other distant regions, and the strain lacks the transmissibility of pandemic-potential pathogens. Realistic shifts could arise from sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, undetected exportation to new countries, or unexpected increases in community transmission during the rainy season.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$692,078終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market's overwhelming "No" consensus reflects the localized character of the ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda. As of mid-August 2026, WHO and CDC data show roughly 4,900–5,000 confirmed cases and over 2,300 deaths, concentrated in Ituri Province with limited cross-border transmission. Official assessments classify global risk as low due to strong surveillance, contact tracing, and infection-control measures that have historically contained Ebola outbreaks before widespread international dissemination. No cases have reached the United States or other distant regions, and the strain lacks the transmissibility of pandemic-potential pathogens. Realistic shifts could arise from sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, undetected exportation to new countries, or unexpected increases in community transmission during the rainy season.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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