**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の広州の最低気温は？
9月14日の広州の最低気温は？
20°C以下 52%
30℃以上 52%
25°C 46%
22℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
20°C以下
52%
21°C
13%
22℃
39%
23°C
38%
24℃
24%
25°C
46%
26℃
26%
27℃
39%
28℃
15%
29℃
15%
30℃以上
52%
20°C以下 52%
30℃以上 52%
25°C 46%
22℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
20°C以下
$0 Vol.
52%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22℃
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24℃
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$12 Vol.
46%
26℃
$0 Vol.
26%
27℃
$0 Vol.
39%
28℃
$0 Vol.
15%
29℃
$0 Vol.
15%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability.
Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability.
Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain moderating overnight cooling.** Multiple sources project daytime highs of 30–32°C and lows of 25–26°C under mostly overcast skies with 70–90% precipitation chances, consistent with the historical average low of 24.3°C for the date and recent September patterns. This supports the market's leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Cooler scenarios (20°C or below at 26.5%) remain possible if clearer skies develop or a stronger cold pool arrives, though current model runs show limited support. Warmer overnight minima (30°C or higher at 26.5%) would require unusual heat retention, unlikely given the rain-cooled air mass. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily, with upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine these odds as the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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