Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with a subtropical weather pattern. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, while light variable winds offer little additional mixing. Historical averages for the date hover around 24.4°C, but current model runs show a narrow range centered slightly above that baseline due to the active moisture. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in exact timing of rain or observational minima at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の広州の最低気温は?
26℃ 49%
27°C 49%
24℃ 47%
23℃ 10%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
10%
24℃
47%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
26℃ 49%
27°C 49%
24℃ 47%
23℃ 10%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
10%
24℃
47%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with a subtropical weather pattern. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures elevated compared to clearer nights, while light variable winds offer little additional mixing. Historical averages for the date hover around 24.4°C, but current model runs show a narrow range centered slightly above that baseline due to the active moisture. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C because small differences in exact timing of rain or observational minima at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes absent a stronger frontal passage. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range as the night progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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