Official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate Wellington will reach a daily maximum of 16°C on September 13 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit further warming. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near 14–15°C, consistent with September climatology where highs average 13°C but can reach 15–16°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus at 99.3% for 16°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble runs and real-time data, with minimal upside risk from unexpected clearing or northerly shifts. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision showing sustained clear skies and reduced wind, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月13日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16℃ 99.3%
17°C <1%
10℃以下 <1%
11℃ <1%
新規
$56,029 Vol.
新規
$56,029 Vol.
2026/09/13
10℃以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
99%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃以上
<1%
16℃ 99.3%
17°C <1%
10℃以下 <1%
11℃ <1%
新規
$56,029 Vol.
新規
$56,029 Vol.
2026/09/13
10℃以下
$704 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$284 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$691 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$4,520 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$11,168 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$13,139 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$10,071 Vol.
99%
17°C
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$2,047 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$2,989 Vol.
<1%
20℃以上
$7,151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate Wellington will reach a daily maximum of 16°C on September 13 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit further warming. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near 14–15°C, consistent with September climatology where highs average 13°C but can reach 15–16°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus at 99.3% for 16°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble runs and real-time data, with minimal upside risk from unexpected clearing or northerly shifts. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision showing sustained clear skies and reduced wind, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$56,029終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate Wellington will reach a daily maximum of 16°C on September 13 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit further warming. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near 14–15°C, consistent with September climatology where highs average 13°C but can reach 15–16°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus at 99.3% for 16°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble runs and real-time data, with minimal upside risk from unexpected clearing or northerly shifts. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision showing sustained clear skies and reduced wind, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$56,029終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from MetService and global models indicate Wellington will reach a daily maximum of 16°C on September 13 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit further warming. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon temperatures stabilizing near 14–15°C, consistent with September climatology where highs average 13°C but can reach 15–16°C under similar patterns. Trader consensus at 99.3% for 16°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble runs and real-time data, with minimal upside risk from unexpected clearing or northerly shifts. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision showing sustained clear skies and reduced wind, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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