**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local observations and international models, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 13, 2026, under variable cloud cover with a chance of thunderstorms.** This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where mean highs typically range from 30–32°C amid humid subtropical conditions and easterly flow. Live readings in the afternoon have reached 31–32°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this threshold as the official peak, likely measured by the China Meteorological Administration. The overwhelming 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited upside or downside risk on the final hours of the day. A sudden shift in convective activity or clearer skies could alter the exact maximum, but significant deviation from 32°C appears unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の深センの最高気温は?
32°C 99.8%
33℃ <1%
34℃ <1%
26℃以下 <1%
$59,655 Vol.
$59,655 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33℃ <1%
34℃ <1%
26℃以下 <1%
$59,655 Vol.
$59,655 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including local observations and international models, indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 13, 2026, under variable cloud cover with a chance of thunderstorms.** This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where mean highs typically range from 30–32°C amid humid subtropical conditions and easterly flow. Live readings in the afternoon have reached 31–32°C, reinforcing trader consensus on this threshold as the official peak, likely measured by the China Meteorological Administration. The overwhelming 99.9% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited upside or downside risk on the final hours of the day. A sudden shift in convective activity or clearer skies could alter the exact maximum, but significant deviation from 32°C appears unlikely based on the latest guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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