Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. September climatology places average daily highs near 31°C, providing a baseline, while the timing and intensity of rainfall remain the dominant variables that could suppress the maximum below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 33°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の深センの最高気温は？
9月14日の深センの最高気温は？
31℃ 34%
32℃ 25%
30℃ 21%
33℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
4%
29°C
8%
30℃
21%
31℃
34%
32℃
25%
33℃
9%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
2%
31℃ 34%
32℃ 25%
30℃ 21%
33℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
25℃以下
$223 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$223 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$136 Vol.
4%
29°C
$188 Vol.
8%
30℃
$2,375 Vol.
21%
31℃
$1,497 Vol.
34%
32℃
$785 Vol.
25%
33℃
$268 Vol.
9%
34℃
$275 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. September climatology places average daily highs near 31°C, providing a baseline, while the timing and intensity of rainfall remain the dominant variables that could suppress the maximum below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 33°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$6,323終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. September climatology places average daily highs near 31°C, providing a baseline, while the timing and intensity of rainfall remain the dominant variables that could suppress the maximum below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 33°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,323終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to a highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by moderate easterly flow, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating. September climatology places average daily highs near 31°C, providing a baseline, while the timing and intensity of rainfall remain the dominant variables that could suppress the maximum below 30°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 33°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of these short-term uncertainties ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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