**Latest official and model forecasts from sources including Weather Underground, Weather Atlas, and MetService-aligned outlooks show a daytime maximum of 16°C for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong 67.5% implied probability on 16°C, as multiple global models (GFS, ECMWF) converge on highs in the 15–16°C range amid a stable ridge of high pressure and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%). Historical September climatology places typical highs near 14–15°C, so the current mild northerly flow and clear spells provide the key lift supporting the leading outcome. Lower probabilities on 15°C (17%) and 17°C (11.5%) reflect residual model spread and minor uncertainty in peak timing, while extremes remain negligible given the stable pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings ahead of the day will be the next key inputs for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月14日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16℃ 66%
15°C 21%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
新規
$14,940 Vol.
新規
$14,940 Vol.
2026/09/14
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
21%
16℃
66%
17°C
12%
18℃
<1%
19°C以上
<1%
16℃ 66%
15°C 21%
17°C 12%
14°C 5%
新規
$14,940 Vol.
新規
$14,940 Vol.
2026/09/14
9℃以下
$573 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$573 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$382 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,308 Vol.
5%
15°C
$2,050 Vol.
21%
16℃
$7,373 Vol.
66%
17°C
$1,704 Vol.
12%
18℃
$802 Vol.
<1%
19°C以上
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts from sources including Weather Underground, Weather Atlas, and MetService-aligned outlooks show a daytime maximum of 16°C for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong 67.5% implied probability on 16°C, as multiple global models (GFS, ECMWF) converge on highs in the 15–16°C range amid a stable ridge of high pressure and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%). Historical September climatology places typical highs near 14–15°C, so the current mild northerly flow and clear spells provide the key lift supporting the leading outcome. Lower probabilities on 15°C (17%) and 17°C (11.5%) reflect residual model spread and minor uncertainty in peak timing, while extremes remain negligible given the stable pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings ahead of the day will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$14,940終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts from sources including Weather Underground, Weather Atlas, and MetService-aligned outlooks show a daytime maximum of 16°C for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong 67.5% implied probability on 16°C, as multiple global models (GFS, ECMWF) converge on highs in the 15–16°C range amid a stable ridge of high pressure and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%). Historical September climatology places typical highs near 14–15°C, so the current mild northerly flow and clear spells provide the key lift supporting the leading outcome. Lower probabilities on 15°C (17%) and 17°C (11.5%) reflect residual model spread and minor uncertainty in peak timing, while extremes remain negligible given the stable pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings ahead of the day will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,940終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest official and model forecasts from sources including Weather Underground, Weather Atlas, and MetService-aligned outlooks show a daytime maximum of 16°C for Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s strong 67.5% implied probability on 16°C, as multiple global models (GFS, ECMWF) converge on highs in the 15–16°C range amid a stable ridge of high pressure and minimal precipitation risk (under 10%). Historical September climatology places typical highs near 14–15°C, so the current mild northerly flow and clear spells provide the key lift supporting the leading outcome. Lower probabilities on 15°C (17%) and 17°C (11.5%) reflect residual model spread and minor uncertainty in peak timing, while extremes remain negligible given the stable pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated model runs and official MetService briefings ahead of the day will be the next key inputs for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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