Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns where monsoon remnants moderate temperatures above the seasonal mean of around 16°C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cold-air advection and stable steering patterns, though slight revisions in precipitation timing or wind could shift the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の成都の最低気温は？
9月13日の成都の最低気温は？
16℃ 93%
15℃ 90%
17℃ 46%
14°C以下 45%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14°C以下
45%
15℃
90%
16℃
93%
17℃
46%
18°C
-
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
16℃ 93%
15℃ 90%
17℃ 46%
14°C以下 45%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
14°C以下
$0 Vol.
45%
15℃
$0 Vol.
90%
16℃
$0 Vol.
93%
17℃
$47 Vol.
46%
18°C
$42 Vol.
-
19℃
$260 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$55 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns where monsoon remnants moderate temperatures above the seasonal mean of around 16°C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cold-air advection and stable steering patterns, though slight revisions in precipitation timing or wind could shift the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$464終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns where monsoon remnants moderate temperatures above the seasonal mean of around 16°C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cold-air advection and stable steering patterns, though slight revisions in precipitation timing or wind could shift the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$464終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns where monsoon remnants moderate temperatures above the seasonal mean of around 16°C. Trader consensus clustering on 16–18°C outcomes reflects model agreement on minimal cold-air advection and stable steering patterns, though slight revisions in precipitation timing or wind could shift the final recorded minimum by 1–2°C before daily resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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