**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 14 points to a daytime high near 24–26°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain or showers.** Multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September, with light easterly or northerly winds providing minimal mixing. This setup keeps maxima from climbing higher while preventing sharp drops, aligning with the market’s tight distribution where 25°C leads at 25.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C (23.5%) and 26°C (20.5%). Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official station observations against model spread and the chance of brief clearing that could nudge the peak slightly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の成都の最高気温は？
9月14日の成都の最高気温は？
25°C 26%
24℃ 25%
26°C 21%
23℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
22℃以下
5%
23℃
11%
24℃
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
25°C 26%
24℃ 25%
26°C 21%
23℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
22℃以下
$169 Vol.
5%
23℃
$350 Vol.
11%
24℃
$1,419 Vol.
25%
25°C
$247 Vol.
26%
26°C
$336 Vol.
21%
27°C
$407 Vol.
10%
28°C
$361 Vol.
5%
29°C
$333 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$326 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 14 points to a daytime high near 24–26°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain or showers.** Multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September, with light easterly or northerly winds providing minimal mixing. This setup keeps maxima from climbing higher while preventing sharp drops, aligning with the market’s tight distribution where 25°C leads at 25.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C (23.5%) and 26°C (20.5%). Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official station observations against model spread and the chance of brief clearing that could nudge the peak slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$4,428終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 14 points to a daytime high near 24–26°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain or showers.** Multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September, with light easterly or northerly winds providing minimal mixing. This setup keeps maxima from climbing higher while preventing sharp drops, aligning with the market’s tight distribution where 25°C leads at 25.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C (23.5%) and 26°C (20.5%). Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official station observations against model spread and the chance of brief clearing that could nudge the peak slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,428終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 14 points to a daytime high near 24–26°C amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered light rain or showers.** Multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate limited solar heating due to thick cloud cover and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September, with light easterly or northerly winds providing minimal mixing. This setup keeps maxima from climbing higher while preventing sharp drops, aligning with the market’s tight distribution where 25°C leads at 25.5% implied probability, followed closely by 24°C (23.5%) and 26°C (20.5%). Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of official station observations against model spread and the chance of brief clearing that could nudge the peak slightly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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