Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supports the tight market clustering around 12°C (30%) and 13°C (31.5%), consistent with early-morning readings near 12–13°C in detailed guidance. Mild advection from the south and limited cloud cover reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains the 26.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher and the lower odds on sub-11°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月14日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
17℃以上 54%
11℃ 37%
16°C 37%
13°C 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
7℃以下
1%
8℃
2%
9℃
13%
10℃
17%
11℃
37%
12℃
28%
13°C
33%
14℃
22%
15℃
22%
16°C
37%
17℃以上
54%
17℃以上 54%
11℃ 37%
16°C 37%
13°C 33%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
8℃
$0 Vol.
2%
9℃
$0 Vol.
13%
10℃
$0 Vol.
17%
11℃
$0 Vol.
37%
12℃
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
33%
14℃
$0 Vol.
22%
15℃
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17℃以上
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supports the tight market clustering around 12°C (30%) and 13°C (31.5%), consistent with early-morning readings near 12–13°C in detailed guidance. Mild advection from the south and limited cloud cover reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains the 26.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher and the lower odds on sub-11°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supports the tight market clustering around 12°C (30%) and 13°C (31.5%), consistent with early-morning readings near 12–13°C in detailed guidance. Mild advection from the south and limited cloud cover reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains the 26.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher and the lower odds on sub-11°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Amsterdam's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly winds. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies supports the tight market clustering around 12°C (30%) and 13°C (31.5%), consistent with early-morning readings near 12–13°C in detailed guidance. Mild advection from the south and limited cloud cover reduce the chance of deeper cooling, while model spread in boundary-layer mixing explains the 26.5% implied probability for 17°C or higher and the lower odds on sub-11°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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