Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances around 10–18%. This setup supports limited diurnal heating while preventing stronger warming, consistent with climatological September averages near 17–20°C. Ensemble consensus across recent model runs shows tight clustering around these values, with minor variations tied to exact cloud timing and wind shifts; updated guidance overnight or early morning could refine the peak if clearer breaks develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 22°C and 23°C leading as the most probable outcomes based on real-time observational trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
22℃ 43%
23℃ 32%
21°C 16%
24°C 10%
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22℃
43%
23℃
32%
24°C
10%
25℃
3%
26℃以上
2%
22℃ 43%
23℃ 32%
21°C 16%
24°C 10%
16°C以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22℃
43%
23℃
32%
24°C
10%
25℃
3%
26℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances around 10–18%. This setup supports limited diurnal heating while preventing stronger warming, consistent with climatological September averages near 17–20°C. Ensemble consensus across recent model runs shows tight clustering around these values, with minor variations tied to exact cloud timing and wind shifts; updated guidance overnight or early morning could refine the peak if clearer breaks develop. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific range, with 22°C and 23°C leading as the most probable outcomes based on real-time observational trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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