United Russia holds a commanding position in the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly race due to its status as the dominant ruling party with federal-level support, incumbency advantages under Governor Mikhail Kotyukov, and the mixed electoral system that has historically delivered it a seat majority despite lower vote shares in prior cycles like 2021. Multiple opposition parties have registered for the September 20, 2026, vote on common election day, yet none show signs of mounting a serious challenge amid typical patterns of limited media access and party registration dynamics. Trader consensus at 94% probability aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or major candidate disqualifications could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日United Russia 94.1%
CPRF 9.4%
New People 4.7%
Rodina 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
94%
CPRF
17%
New People
5%
Rodina
3%
LDPR
2%
The Greens
2%
Party of Pensioners
2%
A Just Russia
2%
United Russia 94.1%
CPRF 9.4%
New People 4.7%
Rodina 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
United Russia
$186 Vol.
94%
CPRF
$129 Vol.
17%
New People
$71 Vol.
5%
Rodina
$119 Vol.
3%
LDPR
$119 Vol.
2%
The Greens
$119 Vol.
2%
Party of Pensioners
$119 Vol.
2%
A Just Russia
$119 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly race due to its status as the dominant ruling party with federal-level support, incumbency advantages under Governor Mikhail Kotyukov, and the mixed electoral system that has historically delivered it a seat majority despite lower vote shares in prior cycles like 2021. Multiple opposition parties have registered for the September 20, 2026, vote on common election day, yet none show signs of mounting a serious challenge amid typical patterns of limited media access and party registration dynamics. Trader consensus at 94% probability aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or major candidate disqualifications could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$983終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly race due to its status as the dominant ruling party with federal-level support, incumbency advantages under Governor Mikhail Kotyukov, and the mixed electoral system that has historically delivered it a seat majority despite lower vote shares in prior cycles like 2021. Multiple opposition parties have registered for the September 20, 2026, vote on common election day, yet none show signs of mounting a serious challenge amid typical patterns of limited media access and party registration dynamics. Trader consensus at 94% probability aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or major candidate disqualifications could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Krasnoyarsk Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Krasnoyarsk Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
音量
$983終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Krasnoyarsk Krai Legislative Assembly race due to its status as the dominant ruling party with federal-level support, incumbency advantages under Governor Mikhail Kotyukov, and the mixed electoral system that has historically delivered it a seat majority despite lower vote shares in prior cycles like 2021. Multiple opposition parties have registered for the September 20, 2026, vote on common election day, yet none show signs of mounting a serious challenge amid typical patterns of limited media access and party registration dynamics. Trader consensus at 94% probability aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or major candidate disqualifications could still alter seat outcomes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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