Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<5 43%
5-9 25%
10-14 10%
15-19 8.0%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
<5
43%
5-9
25%
10-14
10%
15-19
8%
20-24
22%
25-29
4%
30-34
17%
35-39
17%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 43%
5-9 25%
10-14 10%
15-19 8.0%
新規
新規
2026/07/28
<5
$2,706 Vol.
43%
5-9
$536 Vol.
25%
10-14
$236 Vol.
10%
15-19
$200 Vol.
8%
20-24
$89 Vol.
22%
25-29
$114 Vol.
4%
30-34
$84 Vol.
17%
35-39
$79 Vol.
17%
40-44
$204 Vol.
1%
45-49
$162 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$232 Vol.
1%
55-59
$187 Vol.
<1%
60+
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$5,055終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,055終了日
2026/07/28マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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