Kansas's open 2026 gubernatorial race follows term limits on incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly, with the November 3 general election now featuring Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher after August 4 primaries. The state's Republican registration edge, stronger rural turnout patterns, and consistent historical margins in statewide contests underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. These structural factors align with pre-primary forecasts rating the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, particularly in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. No major new polling shifts have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,166 Vol.
$21,166 Vol.

共和党
65%

民主党
36%
$21,166 Vol.
$21,166 Vol.

共和党
65%

民主党
36%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's open 2026 gubernatorial race follows term limits on incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly, with the November 3 general election now featuring Republican nominee Ty Masterson against Democrat Cindy Holscher after August 4 primaries. The state's Republican registration edge, stronger rural turnout patterns, and consistent historical margins in statewide contests underpin the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. These structural factors align with pre-primary forecasts rating the contest Lean or Tilt Republican, particularly in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. No major new polling shifts have emerged since the primaries to alter that positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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