Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, where the party has not lost a Senate contest since 1974 and recent presidential results showed margins exceeding 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination with over 67% in the May primary against limited opposition. The Democratic nominee withdrew in late July, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger after earlier polling showed Risch leading by double digits in most surveys. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and Idaho's partisan baseline, though scenarios such as a late health event, major scandal, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the margin before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,112 Vol.
$32,112 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$32,112 Vol.
$32,112 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$17,831 Vol.
96%
民主党
$14,281 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, where the party has not lost a Senate contest since 1974 and recent presidential results showed margins exceeding 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination with over 67% in the May primary against limited opposition. The Democratic nominee withdrew in late July, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger after earlier polling showed Risch leading by double digits in most surveys. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and Idaho's partisan baseline, though scenarios such as a late health event, major scandal, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$32,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, where the party has not lost a Senate contest since 1974 and recent presidential results showed margins exceeding 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination with over 67% in the May primary against limited opposition. The Democratic nominee withdrew in late July, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger after earlier polling showed Risch leading by double digits in most surveys. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and Idaho's partisan baseline, though scenarios such as a late health event, major scandal, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$32,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, where the party has not lost a Senate contest since 1974 and recent presidential results showed margins exceeding 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination with over 67% in the May primary against limited opposition. The Democratic nominee withdrew in late July, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger after earlier polling showed Risch leading by double digits in most surveys. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and Idaho's partisan baseline, though scenarios such as a late health event, major scandal, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the margin before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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