Latest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の鄭州の最高気温は？
8月9日の鄭州の最高気温は？
31°C 51%
30°C 44%
29°C 24%
27°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
22°C or below
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
44%
31°C
51%
32°C or higher
44%
31°C 51%
30°C 44%
29°C 24%
27°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
22°C or below
$62 Vol.
1%
23°C
$7 Vol.
6%
24°C
$7 Vol.
6%
25°C
$23 Vol.
5%
26°C
$23 Vol.
5%
27°C
$23 Vol.
14%
28°C
$28 Vol.
10%
29°C
$13 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
44%
31°C
$10 Vol.
51%
32°C or higher
$11 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$206終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$206終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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