Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月9日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84～85°F 34%
86～87°F 25%
80～81°F 23%
88〜89°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
華氏75度以下
6%
76～77°F
5%
78〜79°F
8%
80～81°F
23%
82～83°F
17%
84～85°F
34%
86～87°F
22%
88〜89°F
19%
90～91°F
16%
92～93°F
10%
94°F以上
2%
84～85°F 34%
86～87°F 25%
80～81°F 23%
88〜89°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
華氏75度以下
$0 Vol.
6%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
5%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
8%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
23%
82～83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84～85°F
$0 Vol.
34%
86～87°F
$53 Vol.
22%
88〜89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90～91°F
$0 Vol.
16%
92～93°F
$0 Vol.
10%
94°F以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
音量
$53終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$53終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models supports highs in the low-to-mid 80s for New York City on September 9, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer air and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate insolation without excessive heating. This underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84-85°F and 86-87°F outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon clouds, boundary-layer mixing tied to wind speeds, and any late adjustments in guidance that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Above the long-term average high near 79°F, the spread across bins reflects remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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