Recent forecast models point to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with 33°C holding the strongest market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds, are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximums near recent observed values of 30–33°C. Official IMD block-level data and global ensembles show similar guidance, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 34°C before renewed showers moderate readings. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, as typical peak temperatures hover around 32–33°C amid active rainfall patterns. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃ 46%
32℃ 32%
34℃ 18%
31℃ 6%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30℃
2%
31℃
6%
32℃
32%
33℃
46%
34℃
18%
35℃
3%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
1%
33℃ 46%
32℃ 32%
34℃ 18%
31℃ 6%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30℃
2%
31℃
6%
32℃
32%
33℃
46%
34℃
18%
35℃
3%
36℃
3%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models point to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 9 as the most probable outcome, with 33°C holding the strongest market-implied odds. Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate northwest winds, are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximums near recent observed values of 30–33°C. Official IMD block-level data and global ensembles show similar guidance, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 34°C before renewed showers moderate readings. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, as typical peak temperatures hover around 32–33°C amid active rainfall patterns. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and convective timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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