Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
78〜79°F 56%
76〜77°F 21%
80~81°F 19%
82〜83°F 4%
$13,027 Vol.
$13,027 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72~73°F
<1%
74~75°F
1%
76〜77°F
21%
78〜79°F
56%
80~81°F
19%
82〜83°F
4%
84~85°F
1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 56%
76〜77°F 21%
80~81°F 19%
82〜83°F 4%
$13,027 Vol.
$13,027 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72~73°F
<1%
74~75°F
1%
76〜77°F
21%
78〜79°F
56%
80~81°F
19%
82〜83°F
4%
84~85°F
1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 78–79°F in Los Angeles today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a strong marine layer and persistent onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. This typical summer pattern advects cooler Pacific air inland, with sea-breeze circulation and low-level stratus keeping maximum temperatures several degrees below the mid-August climatological average near 84°F. Recent model runs show little change in the thermal profile through the afternoon, supporting the 55.5% implied probability for the narrow 78–79°F bin while capping upside risk in the low 80s. Official downtown observations later today will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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