Strong meteorological consensus from regional forecasts and climatological norms drives the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August represents peak summer in Shandong province, where average highs reach 30–33°C under typical subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flow that enhance solar heating and limit cloud cover. Official projections, including those extending into mid-August 2026, consistently indicate maximum temperatures of 31–36°C for the date, with only minor day-to-day variability. A sudden cold front, dense cloud deck, or unseasonal precipitation could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, yet model runs show low probability of such shifts by resolution time. Traders price this outcome so heavily because historical records and current synoptic patterns make sub-26°C conditions statistically rare during this period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.8%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong meteorological consensus from regional forecasts and climatological norms drives the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 8. August represents peak summer in Shandong province, where average highs reach 30–33°C under typical subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flow that enhance solar heating and limit cloud cover. Official projections, including those extending into mid-August 2026, consistently indicate maximum temperatures of 31–36°C for the date, with only minor day-to-day variability. A sudden cold front, dense cloud deck, or unseasonal precipitation could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, yet model runs show low probability of such shifts by resolution time. Traders price this outcome so heavily because historical records and current synoptic patterns make sub-26°C conditions statistically rare during this period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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