A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is positioning Houston for a peak temperature most likely in the 96–97°F range on August 18, as reflected in the dominant 60.5% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong insolation that will drive efficient surface heating consistent with the mid-August climatological average high of 96°F. Dew points near 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet limited cloud cover and drier mid-level air should suppress widespread convection or extreme outliers above 100°F. Recent above-normal temperature outlooks for the lower Mississippi Valley reinforce trader consensus around these values, with afternoon observations and updated model runs expected to refine the final reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
8月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
96〜97°F 62%
98〜99°F 22%
94～95°F 16%
100～101°F 3%
新規
$10,933 Vol.
新規
$10,933 Vol.
2026/08/18
89°F以下
<1%
90〜91°F
1%
92～93°F
1%
94～95°F
16%
96〜97°F
62%
98〜99°F
22%
100～101°F
3%
102～103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
96〜97°F 62%
98〜99°F 22%
94～95°F 16%
100～101°F 3%
新規
$10,933 Vol.
新規
$10,933 Vol.
2026/08/18
89°F以下
$724 Vol.
<1%
90〜91°F
$1,164 Vol.
1%
92～93°F
$977 Vol.
1%
94～95°F
$1,249 Vol.
16%
96〜97°F
$3,758 Vol.
62%
98〜99°F
$1,166 Vol.
22%
100～101°F
$950 Vol.
3%
102～103°F
$284 Vol.
<1%
104〜105°F
$292 Vol.
<1%
106〜107°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is positioning Houston for a peak temperature most likely in the 96–97°F range on August 18, as reflected in the dominant 60.5% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong insolation that will drive efficient surface heating consistent with the mid-August climatological average high of 96°F. Dew points near 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet limited cloud cover and drier mid-level air should suppress widespread convection or extreme outliers above 100°F. Recent above-normal temperature outlooks for the lower Mississippi Valley reinforce trader consensus around these values, with afternoon observations and updated model runs expected to refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
音量
$10,933終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is positioning Houston for a peak temperature most likely in the 96–97°F range on August 18, as reflected in the dominant 60.5% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong insolation that will drive efficient surface heating consistent with the mid-August climatological average high of 96°F. Dew points near 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet limited cloud cover and drier mid-level air should suppress widespread convection or extreme outliers above 100°F. Recent above-normal temperature outlooks for the lower Mississippi Valley reinforce trader consensus around these values, with afternoon observations and updated model runs expected to refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,933終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETA strong subtropical high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains is positioning Houston for a peak temperature most likely in the 96–97°F range on August 18, as reflected in the dominant 60.5% market-implied probability. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and strong insolation that will drive efficient surface heating consistent with the mid-August climatological average high of 96°F. Dew points near 75–78°F will elevate heat indices, yet limited cloud cover and drier mid-level air should suppress widespread convection or extreme outliers above 100°F. Recent above-normal temperature outlooks for the lower Mississippi Valley reinforce trader consensus around these values, with afternoon observations and updated model runs expected to refine the final reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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