Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日65〜89 100.0%
40未満 <1%
40〜64 <1%
90〜114 <1%
$1,027,257 Vol.
$1,027,257 Vol.
2026/07/29
40未満
いいえ
40〜64
いいえ
65〜89
はい
90〜114
いいえ
115〜139
いいえ
140〜164
いいえ
165〜189
いいえ
190〜214
いいえ
215〜239
いいえ
240以上
いいえ
65〜89 100.0%
40未満 <1%
40〜64 <1%
90〜114 <1%
$1,027,257 Vol.
$1,027,257 Vol.
2026/07/29
40未満
$172,225 Vol.
いいえ
40〜64
$265,702 Vol.
いいえ
65〜89
$240,272 Vol.
はい
90〜114
$184,277 Vol.
いいえ
115〜139
$87,054 Vol.
いいえ
140〜164
$24,702 Vol.
いいえ
165〜189
$40,070 Vol.
いいえ
190〜214
$7,944 Vol.
いいえ
215〜239
$2,684 Vol.
いいえ
240以上
$2,327 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
音量
$1,027,257終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,027,257終了日
2026/07/29マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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