**Traders assign 91% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because justices hold office until mandatory retirement at age 75, and no viable removal path has materialized.** Appointed in 2017, de Moraes (born 1968) faces no term limit or eligibility barrier that would force his exit before the mid-2030s. Multiple impeachment requests, primarily from Bolsonaro allies citing his rulings on social media restrictions, investigations, and the former president’s legal cases, have been filed but stalled in the Senate, which requires 54 of 81 votes to proceed; support has remained well below that threshold. Senate leadership has declined to advance the measures, and recent proposals for fixed terms (such as 12 years) are prospective reforms without retroactive effect. De Moraes continues issuing decisions into 2026 on related matters, underscoring institutional continuity. External pressure, including brief U.S. sanctions lifted in late 2025, has not altered the domestic legal or political requirements for removal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
9% 確率
$30,867 Vol.
$30,867 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
9% 確率
$30,867 Vol.
$30,867 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Traders assign 91% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because justices hold office until mandatory retirement at age 75, and no viable removal path has materialized.** Appointed in 2017, de Moraes (born 1968) faces no term limit or eligibility barrier that would force his exit before the mid-2030s. Multiple impeachment requests, primarily from Bolsonaro allies citing his rulings on social media restrictions, investigations, and the former president’s legal cases, have been filed but stalled in the Senate, which requires 54 of 81 votes to proceed; support has remained well below that threshold. Senate leadership has declined to advance the measures, and recent proposals for fixed terms (such as 12 years) are prospective reforms without retroactive effect. De Moraes continues issuing decisions into 2026 on related matters, underscoring institutional continuity. External pressure, including brief U.S. sanctions lifted in late 2025, has not altered the domestic legal or political requirements for removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
音量
$30,867終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Traders assign 91% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because justices hold office until mandatory retirement at age 75, and no viable removal path has materialized.** Appointed in 2017, de Moraes (born 1968) faces no term limit or eligibility barrier that would force his exit before the mid-2030s. Multiple impeachment requests, primarily from Bolsonaro allies citing his rulings on social media restrictions, investigations, and the former president’s legal cases, have been filed but stalled in the Senate, which requires 54 of 81 votes to proceed; support has remained well below that threshold. Senate leadership has declined to advance the measures, and recent proposals for fixed terms (such as 12 years) are prospective reforms without retroactive effect. De Moraes continues issuing decisions into 2026 on related matters, underscoring institutional continuity. External pressure, including brief U.S. sanctions lifted in late 2025, has not altered the domestic legal or political requirements for removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$30,867終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign 91% probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) because justices hold office until mandatory retirement at age 75, and no viable removal path has materialized.** Appointed in 2017, de Moraes (born 1968) faces no term limit or eligibility barrier that would force his exit before the mid-2030s. Multiple impeachment requests, primarily from Bolsonaro allies citing his rulings on social media restrictions, investigations, and the former president’s legal cases, have been filed but stalled in the Senate, which requires 54 of 81 votes to proceed; support has remained well below that threshold. Senate leadership has declined to advance the measures, and recent proposals for fixed terms (such as 12 years) are prospective reforms without retroactive effect. De Moraes continues issuing decisions into 2026 on related matters, underscoring institutional continuity. External pressure, including brief U.S. sanctions lifted in late 2025, has not altered the domestic legal or political requirements for removal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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