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icon for エーカー上院選挙： 2位
政治·ブラジル

エーカー上院選挙： 2位

icon for エーカー上院選挙： 2位
政治·ブラジル

エーカー上院選挙： 2位

ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 27%

マラ・ロシャ 26%

イナシオ・モレイラ教授 25%

ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士 24%

Polymarket
新規

ホルヘ・ヴィアナ 27%

マラ・ロシャ 26%

イナシオ・モレイラ教授 25%

ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士 24%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ホルヘ・ヴィアナ

ホルヘ・ヴィアナ

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for マラ・ロシャ

マラ・ロシャ

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for イナシオ・モレイラ教授

イナシオ・モレイラ教授

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士

ジュニオール・フェイトーザ博士

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for グラッドソン・カメリ

グラッドソン・カメリ

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for ペテカン

ペテカン

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ

エドゥアルド・ヴェローゾ

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for マルシオ・ビッタール

マルシオ・ビッタール

$0 Vol.

18%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for second place in Acre’s October 2026 Senate contest reflects an open field of eight registered candidates seeking the two available seats. Recent closure of candidacy filings has clarified the ballot without producing decisive polling separation among frontrunners Petecão, Mara Rocha, Gladson Camelí, and Márcio Bittar. Incumbent positioning, party alliances, and regional voter bases continue to shape expectations, while limited recent surveys show the top contenders clustered within a few points. Any shift in voter turnout patterns, late endorsements, or campaign momentum before election day could reorder the final ranking and move implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for second place in Acre’s October 2026 Senate contest reflects an open field of eight registered candidates seeking the two available seats. Recent closure of candidacy filings has clarified the ballot without producing decisive polling separation among frontrunners Petecão, Mara Rocha, Gladson Camelí, and Márcio Bittar. Incumbent positioning, party alliances, and regional voter bases continue to shape expectations, while limited recent surveys show the top contenders clustered within a few points. Any shift in voter turnout patterns, late endorsements, or campaign momentum before election day could reorder the final ranking and move implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「エーカー上院選挙： 2位」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ホルヘ・ヴィアナ」で28%、次いで「マラ・ロシャ」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「エーカー上院選挙： 2位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「エーカー上院選挙： 2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「エーカー上院選挙： 2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「ホルヘ・ヴィアナ」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マラ・ロシャ」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エーカー上院選挙： 2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。