Democratic-led efforts in Congress have driven the 63.5% implied probability, with multiple articles of impeachment introduced since spring 2025 citing high crimes and misdemeanors tied to foreign policy actions, including statements during the 2026 Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. Resolutions from members such as Al Green and Shri Thanedar reached floor consideration but were tabled under Republican House control. Polling shows a slim majority of Americans view grounds for impeachment as existing, while 2026 midterms represent a key variable that could alter House composition and procedural dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these institutional and electoral factors alongside historical patterns of partisan impeachment pushes, even as Senate conviction remains a separate barrier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
64% probabilità
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Sì
64% probabilità
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
20 gen 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic-led efforts in Congress have driven the 63.5% implied probability, with multiple articles of impeachment introduced since spring 2025 citing high crimes and misdemeanors tied to foreign policy actions, including statements during the 2026 Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. Resolutions from members such as Al Green and Shri Thanedar reached floor consideration but were tabled under Republican House control. Polling shows a slim majority of Americans view grounds for impeachment as existing, while 2026 midterms represent a key variable that could alter House composition and procedural dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these institutional and electoral factors alongside historical patterns of partisan impeachment pushes, even as Senate conviction remains a separate barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,652Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic-led efforts in Congress have driven the 63.5% implied probability, with multiple articles of impeachment introduced since spring 2025 citing high crimes and misdemeanors tied to foreign policy actions, including statements during the 2026 Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. Resolutions from members such as Al Green and Shri Thanedar reached floor consideration but were tabled under Republican House control. Polling shows a slim majority of Americans view grounds for impeachment as existing, while 2026 midterms represent a key variable that could alter House composition and procedural dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these institutional and electoral factors alongside historical patterns of partisan impeachment pushes, even as Senate conviction remains a separate barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,652Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic-led efforts in Congress have driven the 63.5% implied probability, with multiple articles of impeachment introduced since spring 2025 citing high crimes and misdemeanors tied to foreign policy actions, including statements during the 2026 Iran conflict over the Strait of Hormuz. Resolutions from members such as Al Green and Shri Thanedar reached floor consideration but were tabled under Republican House control. Polling shows a slim majority of Americans view grounds for impeachment as existing, while 2026 midterms represent a key variable that could alter House composition and procedural dynamics. Traders appear to weigh these institutional and electoral factors alongside historical patterns of partisan impeachment pushes, even as Senate conviction remains a separate barrier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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