As of early August 2026, no major new military or diplomatic developments have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the outlook on a potential large-scale Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Trader sentiment reflects the ongoing military posture, with Israeli forces maintaining operations focused on targeted strikes, border security, and hostage recovery efforts amid periodic diplomatic initiatives. Key variables include the status of ceasefire negotiations, international mediation pressure from the United States and regional actors, and any shifts in Hamas leadership or capabilities. Scheduled events such as upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks could influence escalation risks within the resolution window, while the absence of recent large-scale incursions or retaliatory barrages keeps probabilities tied to incremental changes in these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$720,294 Vol.
31 ott 2025
31 dicembre
11%
$720,294 Vol.
31 dicembre
$70,663 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of early August 2026, no major new military or diplomatic developments have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the outlook on a potential large-scale Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Trader sentiment reflects the ongoing military posture, with Israeli forces maintaining operations focused on targeted strikes, border security, and hostage recovery efforts amid periodic diplomatic initiatives. Key variables include the status of ceasefire negotiations, international mediation pressure from the United States and regional actors, and any shifts in Hamas leadership or capabilities. Scheduled events such as upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks could influence escalation risks within the resolution window, while the absence of recent large-scale incursions or retaliatory barrages keeps probabilities tied to incremental changes in these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$720,294Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of early August 2026, no major new military or diplomatic developments have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the outlook on a potential large-scale Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Trader sentiment reflects the ongoing military posture, with Israeli forces maintaining operations focused on targeted strikes, border security, and hostage recovery efforts amid periodic diplomatic initiatives. Key variables include the status of ceasefire negotiations, international mediation pressure from the United States and regional actors, and any shifts in Hamas leadership or capabilities. Scheduled events such as upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks could influence escalation risks within the resolution window, while the absence of recent large-scale incursions or retaliatory barrages keeps probabilities tied to incremental changes in these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$720,294Data di fine
31 dic 2025Mercato aperto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of early August 2026, no major new military or diplomatic developments have occurred in the past 30 days to shift the outlook on a potential large-scale Israeli ground operation in Gaza. Trader sentiment reflects the ongoing military posture, with Israeli forces maintaining operations focused on targeted strikes, border security, and hostage recovery efforts amid periodic diplomatic initiatives. Key variables include the status of ceasefire negotiations, international mediation pressure from the United States and regional actors, and any shifts in Hamas leadership or capabilities. Scheduled events such as upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks could influence escalation risks within the resolution window, while the absence of recent large-scale incursions or retaliatory barrages keeps probabilities tied to incremental changes in these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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