Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 77%
7–13 settembre 44%
14 settembre–20 settembre 44%
31 agosto–6 settembre 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
Prima del 31 agosto
35%
31 agosto–6 settembre
43%
7–13 settembre
44%
14 settembre–20 settembre
44%
21 settembre–27 settembre
41%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
39%
5–11 ottobre
41%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
39%
19–25 ottobre
38%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
37%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
58%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 77%
7–13 settembre 44%
14 settembre–20 settembre 44%
31 agosto–6 settembre 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
Prima del 31 agosto
$0 Vol.
35%
31 agosto–6 settembre
$0 Vol.
43%
7–13 settembre
$0 Vol.
44%
14 settembre–20 settembre
$0 Vol.
44%
21 settembre–27 settembre
$0 Vol.
41%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
$0 Vol.
39%
5–11 ottobre
$0 Vol.
41%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
$0 Vol.
39%
19–25 ottobre
$0 Vol.
38%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
$0 Vol.
37%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
$31 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$31Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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