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icon for Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)

Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)

icon for Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)

Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)

60% or more 60%

50% to 59% 31%

40% to 49% <1%

Under 40% <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

60% or more 60%

50% to 59% 31%

40% to 49% <1%

Under 40% <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Under 40%

$1,270 Vol.

1%

40% to 49%

$801 Vol.

1%

50% to 59%

$3,378 Vol.

31%

60% or more

$1,926 Vol.

60%

This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections. If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap. If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.

If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.

If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
Volume
$7,374
Data di fine
4 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections. If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap. If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections. If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap. If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.

If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.

If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
Volume
$7,374
Data di fine
4 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections. If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap. If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "60% or more" a 60%, seguito da "50% to 59%" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 60¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 25, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)" è "60% or more" a 60%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "50% to 59%" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale percentuale dell'area di inventario del bestiame degli Stati Uniti sarà colpita dalla siccità? (settimana del 1° settembre)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.