Recent August CPI data showing a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year from July’s 0.5% low has anchored trader expectations for September around the 0.9-1.0% range. The pickup stemmed primarily from higher energy and transport costs linked to global commodity prices and Middle East supply risks, which added roughly 0.28 percentage points to the annual rate, while non-food categories strengthened modestly. Persistent food deflation, especially pork prices down over 11% year-on-year amid ample supply and soft consumption, continues to cap upside. Core inflation excluding food and energy held near 1.0%, reflecting subdued domestic demand that limits broader pass-through from producer prices. Forecasts from several institutions cluster near 0.9-1.1% for the month and full year, supporting the market’s leading bins while leaving room for modest downside if seasonal vegetable gains fade or energy pressures ease.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,9% a 1,0% 47%
0,7% a 0,8% 25%
1,1%+ 17.0%
≤0,4% 7.1%
$11,419 Vol.
$11,419 Vol.
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
9%
0,5% a 0,6%
5%
0,7% a 0,8%
25%
0,9% a 1,0%
47%
1,1%+
17%
0,9% a 1,0% 47%
0,7% a 0,8% 25%
1,1%+ 17.0%
≤0,4% 7.1%
$11,419 Vol.
$11,419 Vol.
14 ott 2026
≤0,4%
$145 Vol.
9%
0,5% a 0,6%
$103 Vol.
5%
0,7% a 0,8%
$5,485 Vol.
25%
0,9% a 1,0%
$5,586 Vol.
47%
1,1%+
$99 Vol.
17%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showing a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year from July’s 0.5% low has anchored trader expectations for September around the 0.9-1.0% range. The pickup stemmed primarily from higher energy and transport costs linked to global commodity prices and Middle East supply risks, which added roughly 0.28 percentage points to the annual rate, while non-food categories strengthened modestly. Persistent food deflation, especially pork prices down over 11% year-on-year amid ample supply and soft consumption, continues to cap upside. Core inflation excluding food and energy held near 1.0%, reflecting subdued domestic demand that limits broader pass-through from producer prices. Forecasts from several institutions cluster near 0.9-1.1% for the month and full year, supporting the market’s leading bins while leaving room for modest downside if seasonal vegetable gains fade or energy pressures ease.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$11,419Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent August CPI data showing a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year from July’s 0.5% low has anchored trader expectations for September around the 0.9-1.0% range. The pickup stemmed primarily from higher energy and transport costs linked to global commodity prices and Middle East supply risks, which added roughly 0.28 percentage points to the annual rate, while non-food categories strengthened modestly. Persistent food deflation, especially pork prices down over 11% year-on-year amid ample supply and soft consumption, continues to cap upside. Core inflation excluding food and energy held near 1.0%, reflecting subdued domestic demand that limits broader pass-through from producer prices. Forecasts from several institutions cluster near 0.9-1.1% for the month and full year, supporting the market’s leading bins while leaving room for modest downside if seasonal vegetable gains fade or energy pressures ease.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$11,419Data di fine
14 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 4:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showing a rebound to 0.8% year-on-year from July’s 0.5% low has anchored trader expectations for September around the 0.9-1.0% range. The pickup stemmed primarily from higher energy and transport costs linked to global commodity prices and Middle East supply risks, which added roughly 0.28 percentage points to the annual rate, while non-food categories strengthened modestly. Persistent food deflation, especially pork prices down over 11% year-on-year amid ample supply and soft consumption, continues to cap upside. Core inflation excluding food and energy held near 1.0%, reflecting subdued domestic demand that limits broader pass-through from producer prices. Forecasts from several institutions cluster near 0.9-1.1% for the month and full year, supporting the market’s leading bins while leaving room for modest downside if seasonal vegetable gains fade or energy pressures ease.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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