South Africa's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on elevated fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-related conflict that drove June 2026 CPI to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline forecast to 4.4% in May amid persistent transport and energy pressures, while core inflation reached 4.1%. Traders price the closest outcomes—4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7%—nearly evenly because rand strength, harvest-driven food prices, and potential policy easing could moderate the average, yet sustained oil volatility above $100 per barrel and services inflation above 4% introduce upside risks that keep the distribution tightly contested around the SARB's revised path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 14.6%
>5,0% 8.9%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<2,6%
<1%
2,6-2,9%
<1%
2,9-3,2%
6%
3,2-3,5%
3%
3,5-3,8%
4%
3,8-4,1%
15%
4,1-4,4%
30%
4,4-4,7%
22%
4,7-5,0%
8%
>5,0%
9%
4,1-4,4% 29.6%
4,4-4,7% 22.1%
3,8-4,1% 14.6%
>5,0% 8.9%
$39,925 Vol.
$39,925 Vol.
19 gen 2027
<2,6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2,6-2,9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2,9-3,2%
$1,564 Vol.
6%
3,2-3,5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3,5-3,8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3,8-4,1%
$3,106 Vol.
15%
4,1-4,4%
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4,4-4,7%
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4,7-5,0%
$3,372 Vol.
8%
>5,0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on elevated fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-related conflict that drove June 2026 CPI to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline forecast to 4.4% in May amid persistent transport and energy pressures, while core inflation reached 4.1%. Traders price the closest outcomes—4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7%—nearly evenly because rand strength, harvest-driven food prices, and potential policy easing could moderate the average, yet sustained oil volatility above $100 per barrel and services inflation above 4% introduce upside risks that keep the distribution tightly contested around the SARB's revised path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercato aperto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$39,925Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on elevated fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-related conflict that drove June 2026 CPI to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline forecast to 4.4% in May amid persistent transport and energy pressures, while core inflation reached 4.1%. Traders price the closest outcomes—4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7%—nearly evenly because rand strength, harvest-driven food prices, and potential policy easing could moderate the average, yet sustained oil volatility above $100 per barrel and services inflation above 4% introduce upside risks that keep the distribution tightly contested around the SARB's revised path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$39,925Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on elevated fuel costs from geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-related conflict that drove June 2026 CPI to 5.0% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2024. The South African Reserve Bank revised its 2026 headline forecast to 4.4% in May amid persistent transport and energy pressures, while core inflation reached 4.1%. Traders price the closest outcomes—4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7%—nearly evenly because rand strength, harvest-driven food prices, and potential policy easing could moderate the average, yet sustained oil volatility above $100 per barrel and services inflation above 4% introduce upside risks that keep the distribution tightly contested around the SARB's revised path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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