Recent July Core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM consensus, with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, reflecting modest shelter deceleration and softer goods prices that have tempered momentum after June’s flat reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 0.20% core increase, yet trader positioning on Polymarket remains dispersed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes because of uncertainty around shelter trends, potential rebounds in services, and labor-market resilience that could sustain underlying pressures. This distribution aligns with market-implied odds showing no dominant outcome above 29%, underscoring how upcoming data on wages and housing costs could shift probabilities ahead of the mid-September release and influence Fed rate expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,2% 29%
0,1% 23%
0,3% 20%
≤0,0% 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
≤0,0%
16%
0,1%
23%
0,2%
29%
0,3%
20%
0,4%
10%
0,5%
7%
0,6%+
9%
0,2% 29%
0,1% 23%
0,3% 20%
≤0,0% 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
≤0,0%
$60 Vol.
16%
0,1%
$68 Vol.
23%
0,2%
$48 Vol.
29%
0,3%
$48 Vol.
20%
0,4%
$48 Vol.
10%
0,5%
$48 Vol.
7%
0,6%+
$48 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July Core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM consensus, with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, reflecting modest shelter deceleration and softer goods prices that have tempered momentum after June’s flat reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 0.20% core increase, yet trader positioning on Polymarket remains dispersed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes because of uncertainty around shelter trends, potential rebounds in services, and labor-market resilience that could sustain underlying pressures. This distribution aligns with market-implied odds showing no dominant outcome above 29%, underscoring how upcoming data on wages and housing costs could shift probabilities ahead of the mid-September release and influence Fed rate expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$368Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July Core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM consensus, with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, reflecting modest shelter deceleration and softer goods prices that have tempered momentum after June’s flat reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 0.20% core increase, yet trader positioning on Polymarket remains dispersed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes because of uncertainty around shelter trends, potential rebounds in services, and labor-market resilience that could sustain underlying pressures. This distribution aligns with market-implied odds showing no dominant outcome above 29%, underscoring how upcoming data on wages and housing costs could shift probabilities ahead of the mid-September release and influence Fed rate expectations.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$368Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July Core CPI data printed exactly at the 0.2% MoM consensus, with the annual rate easing to 2.5%, reflecting modest shelter deceleration and softer goods prices that have tempered momentum after June’s flat reading. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a similar 0.20% core increase, yet trader positioning on Polymarket remains dispersed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes because of uncertainty around shelter trends, potential rebounds in services, and labor-market resilience that could sustain underlying pressures. This distribution aligns with market-implied odds showing no dominant outcome above 29%, underscoring how upcoming data on wages and housing costs could shift probabilities ahead of the mid-September release and influence Fed rate expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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