Elaine Pelino maintains a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, with early voting underway. Recent polling shows her ahead of party-endorsed rival Aaron Guckian by roughly 20 points among likely GOP primary voters, reflecting strong grassroots support and appeal as a self-described MAGA-aligned outsider in a low-turnout contest. Guckian secured the state Republican convention endorsement in June but trails in surveys despite greater prior political experience. Other filed candidates have withdrawn or failed to qualify. Trader consensus on Pelino reflects these polling trends and campaign dynamics, though final voter turnout among party regulars or late shifts in the two-week window before ballots close could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElaine Pelino 91%
Aaron Guckian 8.0%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$35,181 Vol.
$35,181 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
91%

Aaron Guckian
8%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 91%
Aaron Guckian 8.0%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$35,181 Vol.
$35,181 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
91%

Aaron Guckian
8%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino maintains a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, with early voting underway. Recent polling shows her ahead of party-endorsed rival Aaron Guckian by roughly 20 points among likely GOP primary voters, reflecting strong grassroots support and appeal as a self-described MAGA-aligned outsider in a low-turnout contest. Guckian secured the state Republican convention endorsement in June but trails in surveys despite greater prior political experience. Other filed candidates have withdrawn or failed to qualify. Trader consensus on Pelino reflects these polling trends and campaign dynamics, though final voter turnout among party regulars or late shifts in the two-week window before ballots close could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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