Eli Savit secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan attorney general at the party's August 2026 convention, positioning him as the frontrunner in this open-seat contest following Dana Nessel's term limit. Doug Lloyd emerged as the Republican nominee after his party's convention the same month. Traders assign Savit a 67% implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic strength in statewide executive races and the absence of a primary contest that could have shifted momentum. Lloyd trails at around 30%, consistent with historical patterns in the state where the party holding the governorship often performs better in down-ballot contests. Third-party and other options remain lower-probability alternatives. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited new polling available since the conventions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Eli Savit (D)
67%

Doug Lloyd (R)
31%

Eli Savit (D)
67%

Doug Lloyd (R)
31%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Eli Savit secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan attorney general at the party's August 2026 convention, positioning him as the frontrunner in this open-seat contest following Dana Nessel's term limit. Doug Lloyd emerged as the Republican nominee after his party's convention the same month. Traders assign Savit a 67% implied probability, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic strength in statewide executive races and the absence of a primary contest that could have shifted momentum. Lloyd trails at around 30%, consistent with historical patterns in the state where the party holding the governorship often performs better in down-ballot contests. Third-party and other options remain lower-probability alternatives. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the key resolution trigger, with limited new polling available since the conventions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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