**Mild overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system are positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on September 5 near 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple forecast models show radiative cooling overnight with northwest winds and dew points supporting a minimum around 13–15°C, consistent with early-September climatology but warmer than cooler historical analogs. The very low odds on 14°C or below reflect the absence of any incoming cold front or significant cloud cover that would enhance cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 16°C given the expected stabilization of the air mass. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies shows tight model consensus with minimal spread, and the market-implied odds align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range forecasts. Resolution will occur once the daily minimum is confirmed by standard meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 5 settembre?
15°C 34%
14°C o inferiore 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
57%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C o inferiore 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
57%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Mild overnight conditions under clear to partly cloudy skies and a stable high-pressure system are positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on September 5 near 15–16°C as the leading market outcomes.** Multiple forecast models show radiative cooling overnight with northwest winds and dew points supporting a minimum around 13–15°C, consistent with early-September climatology but warmer than cooler historical analogs. The very low odds on 14°C or below reflect the absence of any incoming cold front or significant cloud cover that would enhance cooling, while probabilities drop sharply above 16°C given the expected stabilization of the air mass. Official guidance from European meteorological agencies shows tight model consensus with minimal spread, and the market-implied odds align closely with the latest observational trends and short-range forecasts. Resolution will occur once the daily minimum is confirmed by standard meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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