Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Jinan overnight lows stabilizing near 18–20°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C. Radiative cooling after sunset, modulated by dew points near 14–16°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the 16°C outcome at 51.5% while allowing for localized urban heat retention or brief wind shifts that could push readings to 13–15°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima near 17°C and the absence of cold-air advection, with resolution hinging on official station data by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 13 settembre?
14°C 99%
15°C 99%
22°C o superiore 99%
13°C 90%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
90%
14°C
99%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C o superiore
99%
14°C 99%
15°C 99%
22°C o superiore 99%
13°C 90%
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
90%
14°C
99%
15°C
99%
16°C
-
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
90%
22°C o superiore
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Jinan overnight lows stabilizing near 18–20°C under clear skies and light easterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16°C. Radiative cooling after sunset, modulated by dew points near 14–16°C and minimal cloud cover, favors the 16°C outcome at 51.5% while allowing for localized urban heat retention or brief wind shifts that could push readings to 13–15°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima near 17°C and the absence of cold-air advection, with resolution hinging on official station data by day's end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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