Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 agosto?
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$20,698 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,698 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
48%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
29°C 5%
NUOVO
$20,698 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,698 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$501 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,448 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,467 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3,897 Vol.
17%
27°C
$2,927 Vol.
48%
28°C
$4,558 Vol.
30%
29°C
$2,737 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,698Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,698Data di fine
7 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 7 under typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–34°C and moderate humidity supporting limited overnight radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds—common in August—further moderate nighttime lows near the seasonal average of 26–28°C. Recent model consensus and real-time observations show no incoming cold fronts, typhoons, or unusual atmospheric shifts that would push readings below 26°C or above 29°C. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on 27°C and 28°C because these align with verified historical patterns and the absence of factors that could drive meaningful deviation before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti