Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate highs of 28–29°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Persistent high pressure and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture have kept conditions stable, supporting these values as the market leaders at 42% and 28% implied probability. September climatology places typical daily maxima near 26–28°C, with the current pattern showing modest daytime heating consistent with early-autumn norms. Minor model spread around peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 27°C and 30°C; updated short-range runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 settembre?
28°C 38%
29°C 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 10%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C o superiore
3%
28°C 38%
29°C 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 10%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
3%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate highs of 28–29°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 8 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Persistent high pressure and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture have kept conditions stable, supporting these values as the market leaders at 42% and 28% implied probability. September climatology places typical daily maxima near 26–28°C, with the current pattern showing modest daytime heating consistent with early-autumn norms. Minor model spread around peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounts for the secondary probabilities on 27°C and 30°C; updated short-range runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti