Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates a high near 81–82°F on September 8 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest flow, aligning with the market's leading 52% implied probability for that bin. This follows a cooler period earlier in the weekend and reflects typical early-September warming as high pressure builds. The long-term Central Park average high for the date is 79°F, so the projected reading sits modestly above climatology without extreme heat. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum, particularly any late-day mixing or boundary influences, while historical variability shows September 8 highs have ranged from the 60s to the mid-90s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York l'8 settembre?
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 25%
86-87°F 20%
73°F o inferiore
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
13%
92°F o più
2%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 25%
86-87°F 20%
73°F o inferiore
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
13%
92°F o più
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicates a high near 81–82°F on September 8 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest flow, aligning with the market's leading 52% implied probability for that bin. This follows a cooler period earlier in the weekend and reflects typical early-September warming as high pressure builds. The long-term Central Park average high for the date is 79°F, so the projected reading sits modestly above climatology without extreme heat. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum, particularly any late-day mixing or boundary influences, while historical variability shows September 8 highs have ranged from the 60s to the mid-90s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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