Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 agosto?
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
$19,806 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,806 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
37%
29°C
35%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
$19,806 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,806 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,213 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,182 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,215 Vol.
3%
27°C
$6,248 Vol.
17%
28°C
$1,089 Vol.
37%
29°C
$3,740 Vol.
35%
30°C
$2,435 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$379 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$19,806Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,806Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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