Trader sentiment for NYC's August 6 high temperature centers on warm late-summer conditions, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs near or slightly above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent forecasts highlight a humid air mass with daytime peaks likely reaching the upper 80s, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating rather than significant cooling from storms. The 88–91°F range leads because climatological baselines and short-term model runs show modest above-normal warmth persisting into early August, without the extreme ridging seen in July's heat wave. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 6 agosto?
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 10%
92-93°F 9%
$20,178 Vol.
$20,178 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 10%
92-93°F 9%
$20,178 Vol.
$20,178 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for NYC's August 6 high temperature centers on warm late-summer conditions, with National Weather Service and model guidance pointing to highs near or slightly above the 83°F seasonal average. Recent forecasts highlight a humid air mass with daytime peaks likely reaching the upper 80s, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating rather than significant cooling from storms. The 88–91°F range leads because climatological baselines and short-term model runs show modest above-normal warmth persisting into early August, without the extreme ridging seen in July's heat wave. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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