**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 12 settembre?
26°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$72,718 Vol.
$72,718 Vol.
12 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$72,718 Vol.
$72,718 Vol.
12 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$1,284 Vol.
No
19°C
$349 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,349 Vol.
No
21°C
$210 Vol.
No
22°C
$21 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,794 Vol.
No
24°C
$18,214 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,462 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,655 Vol.
Sì
27°C
$4,099 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$3,281 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$72,718Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72,718Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C high reflects official meteorological observations and forecast model agreement for Milan on September 12, 2026.** Multiple real-time sources, including GFS-derived forecasts and station data, show afternoon peaks reaching 25–26°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and surface pressures around 1022–1023 hPa. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the Po Valley, where typical highs average near 22–25°C absent strong advection or frontal systems. The market-implied odds indicate traders viewed the outcome as effectively certain once diurnal heating maximized without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread or station-specific microclimate variations remain possible but insufficient to shift the recorded maximum outside the 26°C threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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