Latest forecasts from multiple models place Manila's September 14 maximum near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon. Light winds and high humidity will restrict evaporative cooling and vertical mixing, while variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Persistent tropical moisture supports modest instability that could briefly suppress insolation, yet urban heat retention in the metro area may nudge readings slightly higher if breaks in cloud allow stronger solar input. The tight market split reflects this narrow forecast range and typical short-term model spread on precipitation timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 14 settembre?
32°C 42%
33°C 39%
31°C 11%
34°C 10%
$12,660 Vol.
$12,660 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
42%
33°C
39%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 39%
31°C 11%
34°C 10%
$12,660 Vol.
$12,660 Vol.
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
42%
33°C
39%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models place Manila's September 14 maximum near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers tied to the southwest monsoon. Light winds and high humidity will restrict evaporative cooling and vertical mixing, while variable afternoon cloud cover and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Persistent tropical moisture supports modest instability that could briefly suppress insolation, yet urban heat retention in the metro area may nudge readings slightly higher if breaks in cloud allow stronger solar input. The tight market split reflects this narrow forecast range and typical short-term model spread on precipitation timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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