Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Jinan, Shandong, will reach 30–34°C on August 11, aligning with the region's typical August climatology of 29–33°C highs amid persistent summer heat across northern China. Ongoing high-temperature warnings and model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions support trader consensus for the 26°C-or-higher outcome at 97.5% implied probability. A rapid shift from an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover could theoretically cap the peak below this threshold, though such developments remain low-probability given current observational trends and seasonal patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan l'11 agosto?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 5%
21°C 4%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 5%
21°C 4%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Jinan, Shandong, will reach 30–34°C on August 11, aligning with the region's typical August climatology of 29–33°C highs amid persistent summer heat across northern China. Ongoing high-temperature warnings and model consensus on stable atmospheric conditions support trader consensus for the 26°C-or-higher outcome at 97.5% implied probability. A rapid shift from an unexpected frontal passage or increased cloud cover could theoretically cap the peak below this threshold, though such developments remain low-probability given current observational trends and seasonal patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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