**Recent forecasts indicate a cooler, stormy pattern over Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, positioning market-implied probabilities heavily toward a daily maximum of 14–15°C.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with an approaching cold front and cyclogenesis noted by Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), are expected to limit afternoon warming despite recent days reaching 19–21°C. Multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, project highs near 14–15°C under overcast skies with showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the 55.5% and 38.5% shares for those outcomes. Higher readings above 16°C remain possible only if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated, but current data favor the lower end of the seasonal 15–17°C average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 6 agosto?
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
$16,857 Vol.
$16,857 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
$16,857 Vol.
$16,857 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate a cooler, stormy pattern over Buenos Aires on August 6, 2026, positioning market-implied probabilities heavily toward a daily maximum of 14–15°C.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with an approaching cold front and cyclogenesis noted by Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), are expected to limit afternoon warming despite recent days reaching 19–21°C. Multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, project highs near 14–15°C under overcast skies with showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the 55.5% and 38.5% shares for those outcomes. Higher readings above 16°C remain possible only if clearing occurs earlier than anticipated, but current data favor the lower end of the seasonal 15–17°C average.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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