Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato200-250 miliardi di dollari 94%
$250B-$300B 94%
$300-$350 miliardi 94%
350-400 miliardi di dollari 94%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<150 miliardi di dollari
-
$150B-$200B
-
200-250 miliardi di dollari
94%
$250B-$300B
94%
$300-$350 miliardi
94%
350-400 miliardi di dollari
94%
400-450 miliardi di dollari
-
450 miliardi di dollari+
-
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
26%
200-250 miliardi di dollari 94%
$250B-$300B 94%
$300-$350 miliardi 94%
350-400 miliardi di dollari 94%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<150 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
-
$150B-$200B
$18 Vol.
-
200-250 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
94%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
94%
$300-$350 miliardi
$18 Vol.
94%
350-400 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
94%
400-450 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
-
450 miliardi di dollari+
$18 Vol.
-
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$272 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$416Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$416Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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