Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 10.5%. This positioning stems from consistent polling throughout summer 2026 showing the Democratic incumbent leading Biggs statewide by margins of 6 to 16 points, with recent surveys from HighGround and others highlighting her advantages among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Maricopa, Arizona’s most populous county and a pivotal swing area, has trended toward Hobbs in recent cycles, and her strong primary performance plus Biggs’s consolidation of the Republican nomination have not shifted the county-level outlook. Traders view the race as stable heading into early voting, though turnout among suburban moderates remains a key variable that could narrow gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$726 Vol.
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
$116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 10.5%. This positioning stems from consistent polling throughout summer 2026 showing the Democratic incumbent leading Biggs statewide by margins of 6 to 16 points, with recent surveys from HighGround and others highlighting her advantages among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Maricopa, Arizona’s most populous county and a pivotal swing area, has trended toward Hobbs in recent cycles, and her strong primary performance plus Biggs’s consolidation of the Republican nomination have not shifted the county-level outlook. Traders view the race as stable heading into early voting, though turnout among suburban moderates remains a key variable that could narrow gaps.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$841Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 10.5%. This positioning stems from consistent polling throughout summer 2026 showing the Democratic incumbent leading Biggs statewide by margins of 6 to 16 points, with recent surveys from HighGround and others highlighting her advantages among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Maricopa, Arizona’s most populous county and a pivotal swing area, has trended toward Hobbs in recent cycles, and her strong primary performance plus Biggs’s consolidation of the Republican nomination have not shifted the county-level outlook. Traders view the race as stable heading into early voting, though turnout among suburban moderates remains a key variable that could narrow gaps.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$841Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 10.5%. This positioning stems from consistent polling throughout summer 2026 showing the Democratic incumbent leading Biggs statewide by margins of 6 to 16 points, with recent surveys from HighGround and others highlighting her advantages among independents, women, and Hispanic voters. Maricopa, Arizona’s most populous county and a pivotal swing area, has trended toward Hobbs in recent cycles, and her strong primary performance plus Biggs’s consolidation of the Republican nomination have not shifted the county-level outlook. Traders view the race as stable heading into early voting, though turnout among suburban moderates remains a key variable that could narrow gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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