AfD leads recent polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the two eastern states holding elections this month, while trailing in Berlin. In Saxony-Anhalt, where voters decide September 6, surveys place AfD support above 40 percent against the CDU’s roughly 23 percent, positioning the party for the largest seat share and possibly an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polls similarly show AfD ahead at 35–37 percent ahead of the September 20 vote. In Berlin the same day, AfD registers around 18 percent behind the CDU and other parties. These consistent eastern polling trends, driven by voter concerns over immigration and the federal government’s performance, underpin trader consensus that AfD secures the most seats in exactly two of the three contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2 75%
1 15.2%
3 11.8%
0 <1%
$110,040 Vol.
$110,040 Vol.
31 dic 2026
0
<1%
1
15%
2
75%
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12%
2 75%
1 15.2%
3 11.8%
0 <1%
$110,040 Vol.
$110,040 Vol.
31 dic 2026
0
$13,980 Vol.
<1%
1
$22,458 Vol.
15%
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$46,741 Vol.
75%
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$26,861 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads recent polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the two eastern states holding elections this month, while trailing in Berlin. In Saxony-Anhalt, where voters decide September 6, surveys place AfD support above 40 percent against the CDU’s roughly 23 percent, positioning the party for the largest seat share and possibly an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polls similarly show AfD ahead at 35–37 percent ahead of the September 20 vote. In Berlin the same day, AfD registers around 18 percent behind the CDU and other parties. These consistent eastern polling trends, driven by voter concerns over immigration and the federal government’s performance, underpin trader consensus that AfD secures the most seats in exactly two of the three contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$110,040Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. AfD leads recent polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the two eastern states holding elections this month, while trailing in Berlin. In Saxony-Anhalt, where voters decide September 6, surveys place AfD support above 40 percent against the CDU’s roughly 23 percent, positioning the party for the largest seat share and possibly an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polls similarly show AfD ahead at 35–37 percent ahead of the September 20 vote. In Berlin the same day, AfD registers around 18 percent behind the CDU and other parties. These consistent eastern polling trends, driven by voter concerns over immigration and the federal government’s performance, underpin trader consensus that AfD secures the most seats in exactly two of the three contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Volume
$110,040Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...AfD leads recent polls by wide margins in Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the two eastern states holding elections this month, while trailing in Berlin. In Saxony-Anhalt, where voters decide September 6, surveys place AfD support above 40 percent against the CDU’s roughly 23 percent, positioning the party for the largest seat share and possibly an outright majority if smaller parties fall below the 5 percent threshold. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polls similarly show AfD ahead at 35–37 percent ahead of the September 20 vote. In Berlin the same day, AfD registers around 18 percent behind the CDU and other parties. These consistent eastern polling trends, driven by voter concerns over immigration and the federal government’s performance, underpin trader consensus that AfD secures the most seats in exactly two of the three contests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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