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Kesepakatan Nuklir prediksi & peluang

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U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

3%

June 30

$600K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

37

Ends in 15 days

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

$51.7K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

50%

$59.1K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

48%

$3M Vol.

$399K today

$54.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

29%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$225K today

$339K Liq.

192

Ends in 7 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

86%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M Vol.

$575K today

$209K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

97%

December 31

$342M Vol.

$33M today

$2M Liq.

8,530

Ends in 7 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

1%

$163K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

76%

JD Vance

$294K Vol.

$138K today

$438K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

14%

$9.0K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

48%

$2.9K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

16%

$607K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3%

June 13

$56M Vol.

$5M today

$4M Liq.

1,037

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

13%

$190K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

7%

$936K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

8%

$207K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

30%

July 31

$5M Vol.

$619K today

$132K Liq.

155

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

29

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

24%

July 31

$8M Vol.

$578K today

$239K Liq.

67

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

76%

$616K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Kesepakatan Nuklir.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 101 market aktif untuk Kesepakatan Nuklir yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $436.2M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Iran Nuke before 2027?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 97% untuk December 31. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Kesepakatan Nuklir yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.