Skip to main content
icon for Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?
Politik·Iran

Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?

icon for Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?
Politik·Iran

Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Ya

6% peluang
Polymarket

$1,217,831 Vol.

Ya

6% peluang
Polymarket

$1,217,831 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent US-Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow, buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and targeted weaponization sites, leaving the program in a degraded state with heightened detection risks. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding included Iran's reaffirmation against nuclear weapons development, alongside stalled IAEA access and reports of centrifuges relocated to fortified underground sites. July 2026 assessments by nuclear experts and US intelligence highlighted ongoing barriers to rapid reconstitution, including technological and verification challenges. These verified setbacks underpin trader consensus favoring no nuclear weapon acquisition before 2027, though diplomatic timelines and any undetected recovery efforts remain key variables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,217,831
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent US-Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow, buried much of its highly enriched uranium stockpile, and targeted weaponization sites, leaving the program in a degraded state with heightened detection risks. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding included Iran's reaffirmation against nuclear weapons development, alongside stalled IAEA access and reports of centrifuges relocated to fortified underground sites. July 2026 assessments by nuclear experts and US intelligence highlighted ongoing barriers to rapid reconstitution, including technological and verification challenges. These verified setbacks underpin trader consensus favoring no nuclear weapon acquisition before 2027, though diplomatic timelines and any undetected recovery efforts remain key variables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,217,831
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Terkait

icon for Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

17%
icon for Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

6%
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

25%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nuklir Iran sebelum 2027?" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 6¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 6% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $1.2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?" adalah "Nuklir Iran sebelum 2027?" di hanya 6%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Iran Nuke sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.